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Pakistan Weather Update (April 4 – April 18)

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  • Lahore awaits showers?

  • Karachi to get wet again!

  • Sea could get rough in Makran!

Temperature - Precipitation Map

Temperature – Precipitation Map

It been a wet winter season in Pakistan as every month is bringing rain from north till south, this trend has started from December and is continuing. Another Western system has been spotted and it is likely to cause a coastal thunderstorm to form near the southern parts. On the other hand, temperatures have started to rise in the country.

Western Disturbance ’01′

  • From April 7 till April 10

As per the latest map, Western disturbance ’01′ could affect the northern, north-western, western and south-western areas of the country. It would have isolated to scattered thunderstorms that would move in their respective path, a trough towards south could affect the coast. On April 5, this western system would be over lower central Iran and by April 7, it would be over south-eastern parts of Iran and Pakistan.  Overall its strength is not much significant, judging by the charts, its intensity is weak to moderate. Western Disturbance ’01′ is the first western system after the end of autumn/winter season in March, a total of 28 western disturbance affected the country from October till March, following are the characteristics of western disturbance ’01′;

Coastal thunderstorm

The coastal thunderstorm would move along the Makran coast would continue to move towards the Sindh coast especially Karachi, Keti Bander and Thatta and after that it would move towards the northern areas of the country. This coastal thunderstorm would have weakened by the time it would affect Sindh coast. This activity is expected on April 8.

Northern Thunderstorm

After April 8, small patches of thunderstorm would be forming over northern areas till April 10.

Last year, a Massive and Active Western Disturbance ’02′ brought countrywide heavy precipitation, it was also responsible for the Bhoja Airlines tragedy. The storm created rough sea along the Makran coast, it also brought light rain to Karachi on April 5 after 1997

Northern Areas – Patchy thunderstorms!

Heaviest rainfall in the North!

Heaviest rainfall in the North!

There are chances of thunder/lightning with rainfall (45 mm) at times moderate with isolated heavy falls along with hailstorm in the areas of Muzaffarabad (Azad Kashmir), Kalam (Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa), Besham Naran (Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa), Dasu (Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa), Saidu (Khyber Paktunkhwa), Kagan (Khyber Paktunkhwa) and Mardarn (Khyber Paktunkhwa)and other adjoining areas. In the surrounding it could be around 25 mm/35 mm from April 8 till April 10.

From April 9/April 10, there are chances of showers with thunder/lightening in Islamabad, Lahore, Faisalabad, Gujrat, Gurjanwala, Murre, Jhelum and adjoining cities. Hail and fast winds are also possible. (below 15 mm/25 mm). The weather is going with be partly/mostly cloudy.

There are also chances of rain/showers with thunder/lightening in Abbottabad, Bannu, Peshawar, Mardan and adjoining cities on on April 8 till April 10. (around 25 mm)

Central Areas – Drizzle?

There are chances of drizzle or isolated shower/rain in Multan, Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Dera Ghazi Khan and adjoining cities on April 10. (below 10 mm)

There are chances of light rain/showers in Quetta, Chaman, Sibbi and other adjoining cities of Balochistan on April 7 night till April 8. (10 mm to 25 mm)

Southern Areas – Sea could be rough?

“Caution: Western disturbance has the potential to create slightly rough sea along Makran coast.”

There are chances of rain with thunder/lightening in Karachi, Nawabshah, Larkana, Jacoababad, Sukkur, Thatta, Keti Bander and other adjoining cities on April 8. Precipitation would be much higher on the coastal and south-western parts of Sindh. In Karachi, 10 mm rainfall could occur on April 8.

Makran coast including Gwadar could experience some gusty winds along with moderate with isolated heavy falls (25 mm to 35 mm) on April 7 late night/April 8 morning. Sea across the extreme western parts of Makran coast could be rough.

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