Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wishes all it’s followers across the globe ‘Eid Mubarak’ – May the day bring happiness to you and your family

Eid Weather from Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)

Following is the weather of August 9 in the provincial capitals of Pakistan;

Islamabad

Partly/mostly cloudy with some chances of showers/rain, the monsoon spell is weak over northern areas.

Lahore

Partly/mostly cloudy with some chances of showers/rain, the monsoon spell is weak over northern areas.

Peshawar

Mostly cloudy with chances of showers/rain late, the monsoon spell is weak over the northern areas.

Quetta

Mostly sunny with increase in passing clouds during the evening/night.

Karachi

Partly/mostly cloudy with chances of drizzle/isolated shower in parts of Karachi.

• Intense rains coming for North!

• Weak Spell possible in south Punjab and Sindh

• How long the monsoon will stay?

Precipitation and Temperature till August 17

Pakistan has now entered it’s second last month of monsoon and in some years August proves to be the last month for monsoon in the country. The northern areas are getting close for their eighth monsoon spell which can bring intense rain to the upper parts. Parts of South Punjab and Sindh may witness isolated showers/rain during that period.

Factors – Present Conditions

*Western trough ’17′ is over the northern areas of the country.

*Low pressure over south Utter Pradesh.

*Upper air cyclonic circulation in the Bay of Bengal.

Other Factors – Effect on Monsoon

Negative Indian Ocean Dipole and weak La-Nina have developed

*La-Nina: National Committee to Study El Niño has confirmed the presence of the La Niña in Peru’s sea, eastern Pacific ocean, South America.

*Negative Indian Ocean Dipole: Temperatures have slightly cooled in the Bay of Bengal and adjoining Arabian sea. Sea water temperatures remains unchanged around eastern African coast as compared to the previous image of July 15.

Eighth Monsoon Spell starting soon

Eighth Monsoon spell following it’s predecessor, is also focused in northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa however like fifth and sixth monsoon spell it can affect the central and southern parts as well though the intensity is different from the past spells. Following is the rainfall recorded on August 10;

• Islamabad got 134 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 109 mm.

Northern Areas – 100+ mm rain possible around Independence day!

125 mm rain is being showed in this map (Red spot indicates extreme rain)

“Alert: Scattered heavy downpour to isolated very heavy downpour likely in northern areas of Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining few parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa on August 13/August 14”

Rain with thunder/lightning likely from August 12 (+1,-1 day error) in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot and few adjoining areas). Heavy to isolated very heavy downpour can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir (Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot) and few parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Kohat, Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakazai Agency and few adjoining districts) on August 13/August 14. As per COLA model, rain is exceeding 75 mm to 100+ mm in the northern areas, supported by various other models including GFS US and GFS UK.

There are chances of rain with thunder/lightning in Faisalabad, Okara, Pak pattan, Sahiwal, South Waziristan, Dera Ismail Khan and few adjoining areas during this period (more chances from August 13). The Eighth monsoon spell can last till a week in the northern areas however it’s peak intensity is from August 13/August 14. Decrease in intensity can occur from August 16.

Central Areas: Weakened rain from north can move towards south Punjab

Eighth Monsoon spell as a weak spell can start affecting this area of Pakistan from August 14/August 15, chances of showers/rain with thunder/lightning in south Punjab (Bahawalnagar, Bahawalpur, Multan, Dera Ghazi Khan and few adjoining districts) as some thunderclouds can form over eastern and western parts of south Punjab. During this weekend, chances of drizzle/showers in western parts of south Punjab due to thunderstorm formation over north-eastern Balochistan.  As per COLA model only, south Punjab is coming under 15 mm layer while few pockets are reaching 20 mm. GFS shows below 10 mm rain layer in parts of south Punjab

Frequent thunderstorm formation is being witnessed in various areas of Balochistan, under that influence rain with thunder/lightning likely in Khuzdar, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, and few adjoining districts, chances of isolated heavy falls there.

South: Activity remains isolated

‘Karachi becomes hub of drizzle/showers again’

Mostly dry weather with passing clouds (increase during evening/night) is expected in most parts of Sindh. Coastal areas especially Karachi can remain under the influence of drizzle/showers. Around August 14/August 15, there are chances of showers/rain with thunder/lightning in Karachi, Thatta, Jamshoro, Dadu, Nawabshah, Larkana, Badin, Sanghar, Khairpur, Sukkur and few adjoining districts. Slight possibility in Tharparkar and Mirpur Khas district. As per COLA model, mentioned areas of Sindh remain around 10 mm layer while other areas of Sindh are under 5 mm to traces layer. As per GFS, western Sindh including Karachi are coming under 5 mm layer.

The coastal district of Lasbella, Balochistan has good chances of rain (10 mm to 20 mm) during this period.

Ninth Monsoon spell coming?

Alert: COLA and GFS shows heavy/severe thunderstorms during 8th spell in North

GFS and COLA shows another monsoon spell starting right after the eighth monsoon spell weakens in the northern areas. New developments by numerical model shows monsoon activity weakening significantly from Pakistan in September, possible withdrawal. Long range models shows one to two western disturbances affecting northern areas in September, nothing meaningful for central and southern areas.

Poll of the Week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know;

•  These pictures have been shared by Qasim Ali for PWP from Faisalabad city, Punjab, Pakistan

Portal Interactive – Get Interactive now!

Send your weather articles, ideas, videos or pictures on babar.cyclone@yahoo.com Your article would be published on Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) with your name and city, without any changes. Views expressed on Portal Interactive does not represent Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) So you could also be the part of Portal Interactive!

‘Not a Natural disaster but a man-made disaster!’

Floods: I am back in Pak!

Pakistan should be on the book of Guinness World Record because thanks to our government and authorities we are under floodwater for fourth consecutive year, this year flood situation is similar to the pattern of 2010 floods that started after the record-breaking rains in the north and flood waters moved from the north and ended up in the Arabian sea.  The 2013 flood started after intense rains in the northern areas of the country on August 13 and  August 14, according to the Natural Disaster Management Agency (NDMA) atleast 178 people have died while 855 are injured, current floods have affected 1.5 million people across Pakistan.

Were these rains enough to cause floods?

Heavy monsoon observed in NE Pakistan.

This year the behavior of monsoon had been erratic, most part of the country witnessed normal to below normal rains while parts of Balochistan and northern strip of the country (Islamabad, north Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) has witnessed normal to above normal rains.

Despite that, the rains should not have caused flood situation to go out of control as during normal monsoon there are frequent intense rains in the north. This monsoon there were one to two ‘scattered to widespread heavy downpour’ rest of them were ‘isolated to scattered heavy downpour’ in upper parts.  In 2010, 2011 and 2012, the floods were caused by record-breaking rains, not the case in 2013. The World has severely criticized Pakistan for their lack of preparedness during the monsoon season while no major precautions were taken as the infrastructure damaged during the 2010 is still in ruins!

Nothing learned: Getting flood since 2010!

Our government is least bothered about the monsoon season they only get up from their sleep when the country is under water, the good news till now is that there is no threat of heavy downpour in September in southern and central parts while north may have a monsoon spell. Since the people of this country are left at the mercy of nature, my personal wish is that monsoon should withdraw from Pakistan in coming days! 

‘Monsoon brings flood no matter who is running the city’

Karachi: The mixture of East and West

Today’s crisis-hit Karachi was once considered a peaceful and clean city in the British India, it was upgraded to a city by the British government therefore we see the city’s old architecture having a striking resemble’s to some European cities.

Facts about British Karachi

• Britishers came to Karachi on February 3, 1893.
• Englishmen wanted to make Karachi into a mega sea port city.
• Karachi port became the largest exporter of wheat in the East.
• People in search of jobs came from China, Arab states, UK etc.

Karachi flooded in 1944

British Karachi experiencing urban flooding

The above picture is taken in 1944 but the year and the date is not known neither the location but it can be said that the picture was taken during the monsoon season. According to the data collected from Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), on 27 July 1944, a cyclone left some 10,000 people homeless in Karachi, the picture might not be related to the cyclone.

However a news article from Pakistan’s Dawn Newspaper shows that very heavy downpour occurred on August 2, 1944 as 162.4 mm rain was recorded which is the highest rainfall for August.

This is a part of Monsoon of Pakistan page

Provincial capitals 2013 August rainfall

‘August ends with above average rain in most Pakistan’

The average rainfall is taken from Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD);

• Islamabad – Zero point got 567.3 mm (average monthly rain is 334.7 mm)
• Karachi – Airport got 106.6 mm (average monthly rain is 60.9 mm)
• Lahore – Airport got 513.2 mm (average monthly rain is 182.9 mm)
• Peshawar – Airport got 63.4 mm (average monthly rain is 77.6 mm)
• Muzaffarabad got 307.1 mm (average monthly rain is 213.2 mm)
• Gilgit got 50 mm (average monthly rain is 15 mm)
• Quetta got 24 mm (average is 13 mm)

Date of Issue – August 31

Isolated rains continue in North 

Western clouding has increased over the country

Low pressure over east Utter Pradesh persists while weak western trough ’19′ is over Jammu & Kashmir, it is moving eastwards. Another upper air cyclonic circulation is over Sri Lanka, it may move into Arabian sea and weaken.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country, the tenth monsoon spell has mostly ended – rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Weak cloud formation over NE Balochistan and adjoining west South Punjab, windy conditions with chances of drizzle can occur there. Weak cloud formation also over lower central Balochistan and adjoining upper Sindh, chances of dusty winds with slim possibility of drizzle, mostly dry weather expected elsewhere with chances of drizzle in Karachi.

In the coming week there are chances of an 11th monsoon spell in the northern areas. Clouding will increase in the eastern Arabian sea in the coming days. Very slim possibility of a post monsoon spell in Sindh during the mid of September. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Kohat got 28 mm.
• Malam Jabba got 6 mm.
• Dir got 3 mm.
• Parachinar got 2 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 17 mm.
• Balochistan
• Zhob got 8 mm.
• Khuzdar got 1 mm.
• Gilgit Baltistan
• Gilgit got 1 mm.
• Punjab
• Murree got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – August 30

‘Tenth Spell prevailing as a weak spell’

Brings clouds to various areas of the country

Yesterday’s low pressure over east Utter Pradesh persists while weak western trough ’19′ is over Jammu & Kashmir, it is moving eastwards. Another upper air cyclonic circulation is over Sri Lanka.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country, due to the tenth monsoon spell – rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. This spell is mostly moderate and can last till 6 to 12 hours with chances of isolated heavy downpour. Western and eastern clouds (very weak) are seen over upper parts of Sindh due to which ‘sudden’ dusty winds along with drizzle can occur in upper areas of Sindh in few hours. Passing clouds in lower central, North-eastern Balochistan, upper Sindh and south Punjab., mostly dry weather expected elsewhere with chances of drizzle in Karachi. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Islamabad got 31 mm.
• Punjab
• Gujranwala got 25 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 14 mm.
• Gujrat got 7 mm.
• Noorpul Thal got 7 mm.
• Pak Pattan got 3 mm.
• Murree got 2 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Dir got 24 mm.
• Parachinar got 16 mm.
• Malam Jabba got 6 mm.
• Lower Dir got 3 mm.
• Balakot got 3 mm.
• Peshawar got 3 mm.
• Gilgit-Baltistan
• Gilgit got 12 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 5 mm.
• Kotli got 4 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 2 mm.
• Balochistan
• Zhob got 20 mm.

Date of Issue – August 29

‘Tenth Spell has weakened’

Yesterday’s low pressure is over east Utter Pradesh while weak western trough ’19′ is over Jammu & Kashmir.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country, due to the tenth monsoon spell – rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. This spell is mostly moderate and can last till 12 to 24 hours with chances of isolated heavy downpour. Central and north-eastern parts of Balochistan and eastern Sindh can witness clouds, mostly dry weather expected elsewhere with chances of drizzle in Karachi. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Islamabad got 73 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 82 mm.
• Lahore got 38 mm.
• Mandibahaudin got 13 mm.
• Murree got 11 mm.
• Jhelum got 2 mm.
• Khyber Paktunkhwa
• Parachinar got 41 mm.
• Malam Jabba got 15 mm.
• Saidu Sharif got 15 mm.
• Bannu got 4 mm
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 18 mm.

Date of Issue – August 28

Yesterday’s low pressure is now over Jharkhand. Weak western trough ’19′ is over north Pak and adjoining Jammu Kashmir.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country, due to the tenth monsoon spell – rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. This spell is mostly moderate and can last till two to three days with chances of isolated heavy downpour. Central and north-eastern parts of Balochistan can witness clouds, mostly dry weather expected elsewhere. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Islamabad got 137 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Balakot got 64 mm.
• Abbottabad got 46 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Mangla got 62 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 39 mm.
• Punjab
• Sialkot got 36 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 11 mm.
• Sialkot got 10 mm.
• Lahore got 9 mm.
• Murree got 6 mm.

Date of Issue – August 27

‘Tenth Monsoon spell hits North – More rain can occur’

Karachi can get drizzle – Dry elsewhere

Yesterday’s upper air cyclonic circulation over north Bay of Bengal has intensified into a low pressure over the same area, it can intensify into a well-marked low pressure.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country, a fresh tenth monsoon spell has started after a dry day in the northern areas on August 27 (-1 day error of August 28). Rain/showers with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, Azad Kashmir, north Punjab and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. This spell is mostly moderate with chances of isolated heavy falls, these chances are more in Azad Kashmir.  No significant chances of rain in Sindh in the near future though coastal areas can get drizzle/isolated shower. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded in the country;

• Islamabad got 9 mm.
• Punjab
• Murree got 3 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalkot got 7 mm.
• Kotli got 2 mm.

Date of Issue – August 26

10th Monsoon nears the upper parts of country!

No rain recorded!

Upper air cyclonic circulation is over east Utter Pradesh and another lies over north Bay of Bengal.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country though there are chances of showers/rain with thunder/lightning in one to two areas of the upper parts. A fresh tenth monsoon spell can start on August 28 (+1,-1 day error) in the northern areas in the coming, PWP maintains the chances at ‘extremely high’, this spell is mostly moderate with chances of isolated heavy falls. No significant chances of rain in Sindh in the near future though coastal areas can get drizzle/isolated shower. No rain was recorded in the country.

Date of Issue – August 25

‘Tenth Monsoon is moving towards North’ – Chances upgraded to ‘extremely high’

Sluggish Monsoon activity!

Yesterday’s low pressure over west Madya Pradesh has weakened into a upper air cyclonic circulation over the same area. Weak western trough ’18′ is over Jammu Kashmir and still moving eastwards.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country though there are chances of showers/rain with thunder/lightning in one to two areas of the upper parts. A fresh tenth monsoon spell can start on August 28 (+1,-1 day error) in the northern areas in the coming, PWP upgrades the chances from ‘very high’ to ‘extremely high’. No significant chances of rain in Sindh in the near future though coastal areas can get drizzle/isolated shower. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 22 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Kakul got 2 mm.

Date of Issue – August 24

‘Tenth Monsoon is moving towards North’ – Chances upgraded to ‘very high’

Low pressure now lies over west Madya Pradesh,  upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Jharkhand. Western trough ’18′ over Jammu & Kashmir is moving eastwards. A fresh upper air cyclonic circulation may form in the Bay of Bengal in coming week.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country though there are chances of showers/rain with thunder/lightning in one to two areas of the upper parts. The high and mid-level clouds from the remnants of low reached eastern and coastal Sindh, from coastal Sindh few clouds even reached Makran coast. Cloud formation was also witnessed over Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. A fresh tenth monsoon spell can start on August 28 (+1,-1 day error) in the northern areas in the coming, PWP upgrades the chances from ‘high’ to ‘very high’. No significant chances of rain in Sindh in the near future though coastal areas can get drizzle/isolated shower. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Punjab
• Lahore got 15 mm.
• Okara got 11 mm.
• Gujranwala got 7 mm.
• Murree got 2 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Malamjabba got 4 mm.
• Kalam got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – August 23

‘Tenth Monsoon Spell is coming towards North’

Yesterday’s depression over east Madya Pradesh, has weakened into a low pressure over central Madya Pradesh. Western trough ’18′ is over Jammu & Kashmir.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country with passing clouds, there are chances of showers/rain in one to two areas of upper parts. Depression’s high and mid clouds have entered eastern Sindh including Karachi which has caused the western clouds over Balochistan not to move in a eastern direction, more clouds can come to eastern Sindh with chances of drizzle/isolated shower in Tharparkar district. A fresh tenth monsoon spell can start in the northern areas in the coming, PWP upgrades the chances to ‘high’. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Punjab
• Okara got 20 mm.
• Lahore got 7 mm.

Date of Issue – August 22

Depression lies over east Madya Pradesh and it has so far maintained it’s intensity. Western trough ’18′ lies over Jammu & Kashmir.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country with passing clouds, there are chances of showers/rain in one to two areas of upper parts . A fresh monsoon spell, tenth spell can start in the coming week in the northern areas, a date will be published soon. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Punjab
• Noorpur Thal got 14 mm.
• T.T Singh got 8 mm.
• Faisalabad got 5 mm.
• Jhang got 3 mm.
• Johrabad got 2 mm.
• Mandi Bauddin got 1 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 10 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Risalpur got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – August 21

Yesterday’s depression lies over Jharkhand and adjoining Chhattisgarh. Western trough ’18′ over Jammu Kashmir and adjoining north Pakistan.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country with passing clouds, there are chances of showers/rain in one or two areas of upper parts while drizzle may occur over north-eastern Balochistan and adjoining western south Punjab. Thick cloud formation seen over north-eastern Balochistan and adjoining area. Following is the amount of rainfall in the country;

• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 10 mm.
• Punjab
• N.P.Thal got 9 mm.
• Jhang got 6 mm.
• Faisalabad got 5 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Mangla got 3 mm.
• Saidu sharif got 2 mm.
• Gilgit Baltistan
• Gilgit got 2 mm.

Date of Issue – August 20

North Ninth spell weakens

Yesterday’s well-marked low pressure has intensified into a depression over west Bengal and adjoining Bay of Bengal. The upper air cyclonic circulation over Haryana has dissipated. Another UAC lies over west Utter Pradesh and adjoining Madya Pradesh. Weak western trough ’18′ is over north Pakistan and adjoining Jammu Kashmir.

The ninth spell has weakened, it may end in 24 or 36 hours, mostly dry weather expected in the country though slight possibility of showers/rain in one or two areas of upper Pakistan. Cloud formation seen over North-eastern Balochistan and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, these clouds are moving eastwards. Clouds over Khuzadar and Lasbella districts of Balochistan they are moving into Karachi and adjoining western cities of Sindh. Clouds dissipating over eastern south Punjab, thick cloud cover over Gilgit-Baltistan. Following is the amount of rainfall in the country;

• Islamabad got T.R
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 66 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 15 mm.
• Kotli got 8 mm.
• Punjab
• Murree got 43 mm.
• Noorpurthal got 29 mm.
• Pak Pattan got 11 mm.
• Sialkot got 4 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 3 mm.
• Jhelum got 3 mm.
• Gujranwala got 2 mm.
• Lahore got T.R
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Malamjabba got 20 mm.
• Kohat got 14 mm.
• Saidusharif got 12 mm.
• Chitral got 4 mm.
• Kalam got 4 mm.
• Balakot got 4 mm.
• Peshawar got T.R
• Gilgit Baltistan
• Gilgit got 2 mm.

Date of Issue – August 19

‘Ninth spell starts – Brings isolated heavy rain to North Punjab’

Upper air cyclonic circulation over Haryana has moved into Indian Punjab. Yesterday’s low pressure over north Bay of Bengal has intensified into well-marked low pressure over West Bengal and adjoining area, it is under the watch for depression status. Another Low pressure over east Utter Pradesh has weakened into a upper air cyclonic circulation over the same area, fresh but weak western trough ’18′ is over north Afghanistan and adjoining north Pakistan.

A weak ninth monsoon spell (its way less in intensity than the 8th spell) has started in some northern areas of the country on August 19 with -1 day error of August 20. Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab especially north-eastern areas, Azad Kashmir and adjoining areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.  There are chances of showers/rain in Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakzai, Kohat and adjoining parts of FATA and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Possibility of more moderate to isolated heavy rain in Lahore, Norwal, Gujranwala, Sialkot and adjoining areas of NE Punjab. Partly/mostly cloudy with chances of drizzle/showers in few central areas of Punjab and Bahawalnagar & DG Khan district of south Punjab during this period. Mostly dry weather expected elsewhere till some days. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Islamabad got 7 mm.
• Punjab
• Jhelum got 104 mm.
• Murree got 90 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 23 mm.
• Sialkot got 11 mm.
• Pak Pattan got 11 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Malam Jabba got 28 mm.
• Abbottabad got 16 mm.
• Saidu Sharif got 12 mm.
• Balakot got 11 mm.
• Dir got 7 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Mangla got 47 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 37 mm.
• Rawalakot got 16 mm.
• Kotli got 12 mm.

Date of Issue – August 18

Western disturbance ’17′ is moving eastwards and would become unimportant soon, it lies over Jammu & Kashmir and adjoining Pakistan. Upper air cyclonic circulation over Haryana persists. Yesterday’s UAC over north Bay of Bengal has again intensified into a low pressure over the same area. Another Low pressure lies over east Utter Pradesh, fresh but weak western disturbance ’18′ is over north Afghanistan and adjoining Pakistan.

A weak ninth monsoon spell can start in some areas of the north on August 20 (+1,-1 day error), PWP upgrades the chance to ‘moderate’. Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab especially north-eastern areas, Azad Kashmir and adjoining areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, it is not a significant spell.  There are chances of showers/rain in Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakzai, Kohat and adjoining parts of FATA and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Possibility of more moderate to isolated heavy rain in Lahore, Norwal, Gujranwala, Sialkot and adjoining areas of NE Punjab. Partly/mostly cloudy with chances of drizzle/showers in few central areas of Punjab and Bahawalnagar and DG Khan district of south Punjab during this period. Mostly dry weather expected elsewhere. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Punjab
• Lahore got 72 mm.
• Murree got 10 mm.
• Gujranwala got 5 mm.
• Sialkot got 4 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 2 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 18 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Balakot got 11 mm.
• Abbottabad got 4 mm.

Date of Issue – August 17

Western disturbance ’17′ is now over Jammu & Kashmir and adjoining northern Pakistan. Upper air cyclonic circulation persists over Haryana. Yesterday’s low pressure has weakened into a upper air cyclonic circulation over the same area.

Eighth spell is now very weak monsoon spell, it has become unimportant. It is being prolonged due to the closeness of an UAC and presence of western winds especially in the north-eastern areas of the country. Showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, some parts of northern Punjab especially north-eastern areas, Azad Kashmir and adjoining areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Partly/mostly cloudy with chances of drizzle/showers in few central areas of Punjab and Bahawalnagar district of south Punjab during this period. In the coming week, a weak monsoon spell can affect the northern areas, it’s probability is ‘poor’ at the moment. Mostly dry weather expected in other parts of the country. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded;

• Punjab
• Sahiwal got 46 mm.
• Okara got 44 mm.
• Lahore got 43 mm.
• Murree got 37 mm.
• Gujranwala got 19 mm.
• Faisalabad got 12 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 1 mm.
• South Punjab
• Bahawalnagar got 61mm.
• Bahawalpur got 37 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Kakul got 57 mm.
• Kalam got 3 mm.
• Dir got 3 mm.
• Balakot got 1 mm.
• Malam Jabba got 1 mm.
• Sindh
• Badin got 8 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – August 16

Western disturbance ’17′ over northern areas of Pakistan and adjoining Jammu & Kashmir, it is moving eastwards. Upper air cyclonic circulation over north-west parts of Rajasthan is now over Haryana. Yesterday’s Upper air cyclonic circulation over west central Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas of India has intensified into a low pressure.

Eighth monsoon spell over the northern areas persists as a weak spell, it is persisting due to the closeness of an UAC and Western winds. Showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, some parts of northern Punjab especially north-eastern areas, Azad Kashmir and adjoining areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. There are chances of Isolated heavy rain in northern Punjab especially NE areas of Punjab (Lahore, Gujranwala, Sialkot, Norwal and adjoining areas). Weak Monsoon spell has further weakened in south Punjab, chances of drizzle/isolated shower in Dera Ghazi Khan, Bahawalnagar and adjoining areas of south Punjab. Partly/mostly cloudy with chances of showers/rain with thunder/lightning in central areas of Punjab during this period (Faisalabad, Okara, Pak pattan, Sahiwal, Layyah, Bhakkar and adjoining areas).

Partly/mostly cloudy weather in Balochistan (Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, Kharan and adjoining districts). Mostly dry weather expected in Sindh with passing clouds, partly/mostly cloudy weather expected in Karachi city. In the coming week, another monsoon spell may affect the northern areas of the country though it’s intensity is weaker when compared to the eighth spell. Following are the rain amounts;

• Punjab
• Sialkot got 127 mm.
• Gujranwala got 76 mm.
• Lahore got 22 mm.
• Sahiwal got 36 mm.
• Sialkot got 31 mm.
• Faisalabad got 8 mm.
• South Punjab
• Bahawalnagar got 58 mm.
• Bahawalpur got 8 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Balakot got 8 mm.
• Abbottabad got 4 mm.
• Parachinar got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – August 15

8th spell has weakened – More rain can occur

Monsoon claims 96 lives in Pakistan

‘No threat of intense rains anywhere’

Western disturbance ’17′ over northern areas of Pakistan and adjoining Jammu & Kashmir. Upper air cyclonic circulation over north-west parts of Rajasthan. Yesterday’s Upper air cyclonic circulation over west central Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas of India persists.

Eighth monsoon spell over the northern areas has weakened and there is no threat of heavy thunderstorms anymore . More Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, some parts of northern Punjab especially north-eastern areas, Azad Kashmir and adjoining areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. There are chances of Isolated heavy rain in Islamabad and northern Punjab especially NE areas of Punjab.  Weak Monsoon spell affecting south Punjab has weakened, chances of showers/rain in (Dera Ghazi Khan, Bahawalnagar, Multan, Muzaffargarh, Bahawalpur and adjoining areas of south Punjab. Partly/mostly cloudy with chances of rain with thunder/lightning in central areas of Punjab during this period (Faisalabad, Okara, Pak pattan, Sahiwal, Layyah, Bhakkar and adjoining areas).

Mostly cloudy with chances of drizzle/isolated shower in Balochistan (Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, Kharan and adjoining districts) though daily thundercloud activity can end from August 16/August 17. A weak monsoon spell in Sindh has weakened chances of more rain in few areas of upper and adjoining eastern Sindh. Partly/mostly cloudy with chances of drizzle/isolated shower in Karachi, weak monsoon activity can end in Sindh and south Punjab on August 16 evening/night/August 17.  Following are the rain amounts;

• SIndh
• Tharparkar got 177 mm.
• Jacobabad got 79 mm.
• Chhor got 61 mm.
• Chachro got 54 mm.
• Moen-jo-Daro got 51 mm.
• Diplo got 40 mm.
• Hyderabad got 22 mm.
• Mirpur Khas got 12 mm.
• Larkana got 9 mm.
• Thatta got 8 mm.
• Badin got 7 mm.
• Mithi got 5 mm.
• Punjab
• Sialkot got 115 mm.
• Gujranwala got 42 mm.
• Lahore got 67 mm.
• Jhelum got 37 mm.
• Okara got 6 mm.
• South Punjab
• Dera Ghazi Khan got 28 mm.
• Bahawalnagar got 5 mm.
• Khyber Paktunkhwa
• Lower Dir got 81 mm.
• Malamjabba got 52 mm.
• Mangla got 16 mm.
• Abbottabad got 6 mm.

Date of Issue – August 14

Heavy thunderstorms to weaken on August 15/August 16 in North

Isolated heavy falls can occur in parts of south Punjab and upper Sindh

Western disturbance ’17′ over northern areas of Pakistan is moving eastwards. Upper air cyclonic circulation over the central parts of Rajasthan. Upper air cyclonic circulation over west central Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas of India.

Eighth monsoon spell over the northern areas continues, it will weaken on August 15/August 16. More Rain with thunder/lightning likely in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency, Dera Ismail Khan, South Waziristan and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot and few adjoining areas). Chances of Isolated heavy rain in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir (Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot) and few parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Kohat, Peshawar, Hangu, Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakazai Agency and few adjoining districts). Weak Monsoon spell is affecting south Punjab, more rain with thunder/lightning can also occur in south Punjab (Dera Ghazi Khan, Bahawalnagar, Multan, Muzaffargarh, Bahawalpur and adjoining areas of south Punjab, possibility of heavy falls in western districts (Dera Ghazi Khan, Multan, Muzaffargarh and adjoining areas) of south Punjab especially around August 15 ). Rain with thunder/lightning can also occur in central areas of Punjab during this period (Faisalabad, Okara, Pak pattan, Sahiwal, Layyah, Bhakkar and adjoining areas).
Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in few parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, Kharan and adjoining districts) due to daily formation of thunderstorms while isolated heavy downpour can occur in Zhob, Musa Khel, Qila Saifullah, Khuzdar, Awaran and Lasbella district during this week. A weak monsoon spell has started in few parts of Sindh, chances of rain in Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Tharparkar, Dadu, Jamshoro, Hyderabad, Sanghar, Khairpur, Sukkur, Gotki, Nawabshah, Jacoababad and adjoining areas with chances of isolated heavy falls in upper parts of Sindh on August 15. Following are the rain amounts;

• Islamabad got 103 mm.
• Punjab
• Sialkot got 172 mm.
• Lahore got 172 mm.
• Faisalabad got 130 mm.
• Mianwali got 127 mm.
• Gurjanwala got 126 mm.
• Okara got 126 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 99 mm.
• Sahiwal got 84 mm.
• Murree got 63 mm.
• Pak Pattan got 51 mm.
• Bhakkar got 34 mm.
• South Punjab
• Dera Ghazi Khan got 93 mm.
• Bahawalpur got 31 mm.
• Bahawalnagar got 23 mm.
• Multan got 5 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Saidu Sharif got 137 mm.
• Parachinar got 86 mm.
• Bannu got 52 mm.
• Malamjabba got 49 mm.
• Abbottabad got 49 mm.
• Lower Dir got 47 mm.
• Kalam got 46 mm.
• Balakot got 35 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 44 mm.
• Rawalakot got 21 mm.
• Balochistan
• Bharkhan got 29 mm.
• Sibbi got 1 mm.
• Sindh
• Karachi got 17.8 (North Nazimabad)

Date of Issue – August 13

Heavy thunderstorms impact North – More intense rain on August 14!

Thundercloud activity seen over south Punjab and Sindh 

Western disturbance ’17′ over northern areas of Pakista nown. Low pressure over south-west Utter Pradesh and adjoining areas has merged with the monsoon axis. Upper air cyclonic circulation over west central Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas of India.

Eighth monsoon spell over the northern areas continues, it can weaken on August 15/August 16. More Rain with thunder/lightning likely in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency, Dera Ismail Khan, South Waziristan and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot and few adjoining areas). Heavy to isolated very heavy downpour can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir (Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot) and few parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Kohat, Peshawar, Hangu, Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakazai Agency and few adjoining districts) on August 13/August 14. Weak Monsoon spell is affecting south Punjab, rain with thunder/lightning can also occur in south Punjab (Dera Ghazi Khan, Bahawalnagar, Multan, Muzaffargarh, Bahawalpur and adjoining areas of south Punjab, possibility of isolated heavy falls in western districts (Dera Ghazi Khan, Multan, Muzaffargarh and adjoining areas) of south Punjab especially around August 14 (+1,-1 day error) ). Rain with thunder/lightning can also occur in central areas of Punjab during this period (Faisalabad, Okara, Pak pattan, Sahiwal, Layyah, Bhakkar and adjoining areas).

Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in few parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, Kharan and adjoining districts) due to daily formation of thunderstorms while isolated heavy downpour can occur in Zhob, Musa Khel, Qila Saifullah, Khuzdar, Awaran and Lasbella district during this week. A weak monsoon spell can also affect parts of Sindh from August 14 (+1,-1 day error) chances of rain in Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Tharparkar, Dadu, Jamshoro, Hyderabad, Sanghar, Khairpur, Sukkur, Gotki, Nawabshah, Jacoababad and adjoining areas with chances of isolated heavy falls in upper parts of Sindh. Following are the rain amounts;

• Islamabad got 202 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 103 mm.
• Noorpul Thal got 82 mm.
• Faisalabad got 71 mm.
• Murree got 62 mm.
• Sialkot got 60 mm.
• Jhang got 48 mm.
• MandiBauddin got 32 mm.
• Chakwal got 31 mm.
• Gujrat got 28 mm.
• Gujranwala got 25 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Peshawar got 56 mm.
• Kakul got 50 mm.
• Risalpur got 49 mm.
• Balakot got 44 mm.
• Malamjabba got 32 mm.
• Dir got 32 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 54 mm.
• Kotli got 44 mm.
• Balochistan 
• Panjgur got 5 mm.

Date of Issue – August 12

ALERT: Heavy thunderstorms can occur in North on August 13/August 14

Western disturbance ’17′ over north-western areas of Pakistan. Low pressure now lies over south-west Utter Pradesh and adjoining areas. Upper air cyclonic circulation over west central Bay of Bengal.

Eighth monsoon spell is over the northern areas, increase in intensity from August 12 night while peak on August 13/August 14. Rain with thunder/lightning likely in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency, Dera Ismail Khan, South Waziristan and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot and few adjoining areas). Heavy to isolated very heavy downpour can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir (Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot) and few parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Kohat, Peshawar, Hangu, Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakazai Agency and few adjoining districts) on August 13/August 14. Weak Monsoon spell is affecting south Punjab, rain with thunder/lightning can also occur in south Punjab (Dera Ghazi Khan, Bahawalnagar, Multan, Muzaffargarh, Bahawalpur and adjoining areas of south Punjab, possibility of isolated heavy falls in western districts (Dera Ghazi Khan, Multan, Muzaffargarh and adjoining areas) of south Punjab especially around August 14 (+1,-1 day error) ), thunderclouds are continuously forming over south Punjab. Rain with thunder/lightning can also occur in central areas of Punjab during this period (Faisalabad, Okara, Pak pattan, Sahiwal, Layyah, Bhakkar and adjoining areas).

Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in few parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, Kharan and adjoining districts) due to daily formation of thunderstorms while isolated heavy falls can occur in Zhob, Musa Khel, Qila Saifullah, Khuzdar, Awaran and Lasbella district during this week. A weak monsoon spell can also affect parts of Sindh from August 14 (+1,-1 day error) chances of rain in Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Tharparkar, Dadu, Jamshoro, Hyderabad, Sanghar, Khairpur, Sukkur, Gotki, Nawabshah and adjoining areas. Following are the rain amounts;

• Islamabad got 2 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Parachinar got 46 mm.
• Kohat got 28 mm.
• Abbottabad got 6 mm.
• Balakot got 2 mm.
• Punjab
• Chakwal got 46 mm.
• Gujranwala got 44 mm.
• Lahore got 23 mm.
• Mianwali got 10 mm.
• Murree got 7 mm.
• Sialkot got 6 mm.
• M.B.Din got 5 mm.
•  Okara got 5 mm.
• Gujrat got 5 mm.
• Sargodha got 2 mm.
• South Punjab
• Bahawalpur got 3 mm.
• Balochistan
• Panjgur got 5 mm.

Date of Issue – August 11

Eighth Monsoon spell started in North

Heavy thunderstorms can occur on August 13/August 14 in North

Weak Monsoon spell brings rain to south Punjab –  Can move towards Sindh

Western disturbance ’17′ over north-western areas of Pakistan. Low pressure lies over west Utter Pradesh and adjoining Haryana. Upper air cyclonic circulation over north-west Bay of Bengal.

Eighth monsoon spell has started in the northern areas with -1 day error of August 12, increase in intensity from August 12 night while peak on August 13/August 14. Rain with thunder/lightning likely in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency, Dera Ismail Khan, South Waziristan and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot and few adjoining areas). Heavy to isolated very heavy downpour can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir (Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot) and few parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Kohat, Hangu, Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakazai Agency and few adjoining districts) on August 13/August 14. Weak Monsoon spell can affect south Punjab this week, rain with thunder/lightning can also occur in south Punjab (Dera Ghazi Khan, Bahawalnagar, Multan, Muzaffargarh, Bahawalpur and adjoining areas of south Punjab, possibility of isolated heavy falls in western districts of south Punjab especially around August 14 (+1,-1 day error) ), thunderclouds are continuously forming over south Punjab. Rain can also occur in central areas of Punjab during this period (Faisalabad, Okara, Pak pattan, Sahiwal and adjoining areas).

Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in few parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, Kharan and adjoining districts) due to daily formation of thunderstorms while isolated heavy falls can occur in Zhob, Musa Khel, Qila Saifullah, Khuzdar, Awaran and Lasbella district during this week. Drizzle/showers can occur in coastal Sindh and western Sindh especially Karachi, Thatta, Dadu and Jamshoro. A weak monsoon spell can also affect parts of Sindh from August 14 (+1,-1 day error). Following are the rain amounts;

• Islamabad got 7 mm.
• Punjab
• Noorpur thal got 60 mm.
• Gujranwala got 13 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 7 mm.
• Lahore got 7 mm.
• Murree got 3 mm.
• South Punjab
• Multan got 25 mm.
• Bahawalnagar got 20 mm.
• Balochistan
• Khuzdar got 14 mm.
• Quetta got 7 mm.
• Barkhan got 6 mm.
• Sibbi got 1 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Lower Dir got 43 mm.
• Balakot got 31 mm.
• Parachinar got 31 mm.
• Rsalpur got 5 mm.
• Peshawar got 4 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 20 mm.
• Sindh
• Karachi got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – August 10

ALERT: Heavy thunderstorms seen in coming week in the North

PWP upgrades the chances of 8th spell to ‘extremely high’

Weak Monsoon spell can aim towards south Punjab and Sindh

Western disturbance ’17′ lies over the north-western areas of the country. Yesterday’s low pressure over north-east Madya Pradesh and adjoining south-east Utter Pradesh now lies over central Utter Pradesh. Upper air cyclonic circulation has formed in the Bay of Bengal.

Eighth monsoon spell can start from August 12 (+1,-1 day error), PWP upgrades the chances to ‘extremely high’. Rain with thunder/lightning likely in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot and few adjoining areas). Heavy to isolated very heavy downpour can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir (Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot) and few parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Kohat, Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakazai Agency and few adjoining districts) on August 13/August 14. Passing clouds in south Punjab with chances of drizzle/isolated shower in Dera Ghazi Khan and Bahawalnagar district till 36 to 48 hours. A weak monsoon spell can aim towards south Punjab in few days mainly from August 14 (+1,-1 day error).

Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in few parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai and adjoining districts) due to frequent formation of thunderclouds. Drizzle/showers can occur in coastal Sindh especially Karachi. A weak monsoon can also affect parts of Sindh from August 14 (+1,-1 day error). Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Islamabad got 135 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 123 mm.
• Lahore got 13 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 75 mm.
• Mangla got 12 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Kakul got 30 mm.
• Balakot got 28 mm.
• Malamjabba got 5 mm.
• Risalpur got 5 mm.
• Balochistan
• Khuzdar got 26 mm.
• Sindh
• Karachi got T.R

Date of Issue – August 9

Heavy thunderstorms seen in coming week in the North

PWP upgrades the chances of 8th spell to ‘very high’

Weak Monsoon spell can aim towards south Punjab

Yesterday’s upper air cyclonic circulation over Bihar has intensified into a low pressure over north-east Madya Pradesh and adjoining south-east Utter Pradesh, another upper air cyclonic circulation over Haryana over west Utter Pradesh.

Seventh monsoon spell has mostly ended in the northern areas. Partly/mostly cloudy with chances of rain/showers with thunder/lightning in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalkot and few adjoining areas) and few adjoining areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa persists during late night, else where the weather can be dry with passing clouds. Eighth monsoon spell is expected in the northern areas in the coming week, it can bring heavy to isolated very heavy downpour to parts of the northern areas. PWP upgrades the chances to ‘very high’. A very weak monsoon can aim towards south Punjab in few days.

There is a possibility of rain/showers with thunder/lightning can occur in few parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Chagai, Kharan and few adjoining districts) due to frequent formation of thunderclouds. Passing clouds (increase during the evening/night) expected in south Punjab till August 9 night. Chances of drizzle/shower in coastal Sindh including Karachi. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 22 mm.
• Murree got 5 mm.
• Gujranwala got 2 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Kakul got 19 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Kotli got 1 mm.
• Balochistan
• Khuzdar got 18 mm.
• Panjgur got 2 mm.

Date of Issue – August 8

Yesterday’s low pressure over Jharkhand has further weakened into an upper air cyclonic circulation and now lies over Bihar, another upper air cyclonic circulation is over Haryana.

Seventh monsoon spell over the northern areas has further weakened, partly/mostly cloudy with chances of rain/showers with thunder/lightning in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalkot and few adjoining areas) and few adjoining areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa persists during late night, else where the weather can be dry with passing clouds. After few days, the rain intensity can increase in the northern areas.

There is a possibility of rain/showers with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Chagai, Kharan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai and few adjoining districts) due to frequent formation of thunderclouds. Passing clouds (increase during the evening/night) expected in south Punjab and Sindh. Chances of drizzle/shower in coastal Sindh including Karachi. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Islamabad got 45 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 23 mm.
• Sialkot 7 mm.
• Gujranwala got 6 mm.
• Murree got 5 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Risalpur got 14 mm.
• Dir got 2 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalkot got 5 mm.
• Kotli got 3 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 2 mm.
• Balochistan
• Khuzdar got 12 mm.
• Panjgur got 8 mm.
• Sindh
• Karachi got T.R

Date of Issue – August 7

Yesterday’s low pressure over eastern Madya Pradesh has moved in a ENE direction and now lies over Jharkhand while western disturbance ’16′ has moved eastwards.

Seventh monsoon spell has weakened in the northern areas, rain/showers with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalkot and few adjoining areas). The intensity of seventh monsoon spell has weakened significantly.

There is a possibility of rain/showers with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Chagai, Kharan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai and few adjoining districts) due to frequent formation of thunderclouds while partly/mostly cloudy in south Punjab while chances of drizzle/isolated shower in few central areas of Punjab. Partly/mostly cloudy weather expected in Sindh with increase in clouds during the night in Tharparker and adjoining districts. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Islamabad got 99 mm.
• Punjab
• Gujrat got 117 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 70 mm.
• Murree got 22 mm.
• Gujranwala got 17 mm.
• Lahore got 9 mm.
• South Punjab
• Khanpur got 108 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Balakot got 101 mm.
• Malamjabba got 68 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 47 mm.
• Kotli got 12 mm.
• Balochistan
• Quetta got 12 mm.

Date of Issue – August 6

Seventh Spell hits Northern areas!

Low pressure lies over eastern Madya Pradesh while western disturbance ’16′ lies over Jammu & Kashmir and adjoining north Pakistan.

Seventh monsoon spell has hit the northern areas, more rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur and few adjoining areas). Chances of more Isolated Heavy rainfall in northern areas of Punjab, Azad Kashmir (Rawalakot, Mirpur, Kotli and adjoining areas) and few adjoining parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. The seventh monsoon spell can weaken from August 7 morning/mid-day.

There is a possibility of rain/showers with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Chagai, Kharan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai and few adjoining districts) due to frequent formation of thunderclouds while partly/mostly cloudy in south Punjab while chances of drizzle/isolated shower in few central areas of Punjab. Partly/mostly cloudy weather expected in Sindh with increase in clouds during the night in Tharparker and adjoining districts. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Islamabad got 107 mm.
• Punjab
• Gujrat got 144 mm.
• Sialakot got 133 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 123 mm.
• Sahiwal got 26 mm.
• Mandi Bauddin got 22 mm.
• Gujranwala got 10 mm.
• Jhelum got 10 mm.
• Okara got 9 mm.
• Murree got 3 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Kakul got 60 mm.
• Mangla got 32 mm.
• Dir got 14 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Kotli got 16 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 8 mm.

Date of Issue – August 5

Chance of Seventh Spell maintained at ‘extremely high’ in North

Upper air cyclonic circulation over south-east Utter Pradesh. A fresh western disturbance ’16′ lies over northern areas of Pakistan. Low pressure lies over Odisha and adjoining Chhatisgarh.

Seventh monsoon spell can start in the northern Pakistan on August 5 (+1,-1 day error) therefore PWP maintains the chances to ‘extremely high’. Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur and few adjoining areas). Chances of Isolated Heavy rainfall in northern areas of Punjab, Azad Kashmir (Rawalakot, Mirpur, Kotli and adjoining areas) and few adjoining parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

There is a possibility of rain/showers with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Lasbella, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai and few adjoining districts) while partly/mostly cloudy with chances of drizzle/isolated shower in Bahawalpur, Rahim Yar Khan, Bahawalnagar and few adjoining areas of south Punjab and few central areas of Punjab. Partly/mostly cloudy weather expected in Sindh with increase in clouds during the night in Tharparker and adjoining districts. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Punjab
• Sialkot got 17 mm.
• Lahore got 2 mm.
• Sindh
• Badin got 2 mm.
• Nawabshah got 1 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Chirat got 4 mm.
• Dir got 3 mm.
• Malamjabba got 1 mm.
• Balochistan
• Khuzdar got 41 mm.
• Lasbella got 15 mm.
• Quetta got 12 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalkot got 2 mm.

Date of Issue – August 4

Chance of Seventh Spell upgraded to ‘extremely high’ in North

Monsoon Activity further weakens in Sindh and South Punjab 

Weak phase over Balochistan persists!

Yesterday’s upper air cyclonic circulation has weakened moved into Balochistan. A fresh western disturbance ’16′ lies over northern areas of Pakistan.

Fresh monsoon activity is expected in the northern areas while monsoon activity has significantly weakened in Sindh, Balochistan and south Punjab. Seventh monsoon spell can start in the northern Pakistan on August 5 (+1,-1 day error) therefore PWP upgrades the chances to ‘extremely high’. Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur and few adjoining areas). Chances of Isolated Heavy rainfall in northern areas of Punjab, Azad Kashmir (Rawalakot, Mirpur, Kotli and adjoining areas) and few adjoining parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

There is a possibility of rain/showers with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Lasbella, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, Makran coast and few adjoining districts) while partly/mostly cloudy with chances of drizzle/isolated shower in Bahawalpur, Rahim Yar Khan, Bahawalnagar and few adjoining areas of south Punjab. Partly/mostly cloudy weather expected in Sindh with chances of drizzle/isolated shower in upper Sindh (Sukkur, Gotki, Khairpur, Jacoababad, Kashmore, Dadu and adjoining areas till night. Following is the amount of rainfall;

• Balochistan
• Turbat got 132 mm.
• Lasbela got 35 mm.
• Khuzdar got 15 mm.
• Gwadar got 13 mm.
• Pasni got 11 mm.
• Jiwani got 11 mm.
• Sindh
• Dadu got 34 mm.
• Chhor got 26 mm.
• Nawabshah got 21 mm.
• Karachi got 10 mm.
• Punjab
• Lahore got 42 mm.

Date of Issue – August 3

Threat of more heavy downpour tonight – Rain activity to weaken from August 4!

Sixth Spell weakens significantly in North – Seven Spell coming after 48 hours!

Karachi has been flooded with 126 mm rain!!!

Yesterday’s Low pressure area over West Madya Pradesh and adjoining east Rajasthan has weakened into an upper air cyclonic circulation and now lies over eastern Sindh and adjoining Rajasthan and Gujarat. Yesterday’s Western disturbance ’15′ over northern Pakistan, it has moved eastwards.

The current monsoon spell can weaken after night there are chances of more heavy downpour in parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakazi Agency, Kohat, Hangu, Dera Ismail Khan, South Waziristan and adjoining districts),  some parts of Balochistan (Zhob, Musa Khel, Khuzdar, Makran coast and few adjoining areas) and some parts of Sindh (Karachi, Thatta, Jamshoro, Khairpur, Sukkur and adjoining districts) till night due to the frequent formation of strong thunderstorms. The sixth monsoon spell in the northern areas has weakened significantly. Partly/mostly cloudy with chances of rain along with thunder/lightning in Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. On August 5 (+1,-1 day error), a seventh monsoon spell can start in the northern areas therefore PWP upgrades the chances to ‘very high’.

Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in south Punjab while chances of drizzle/showers in central Punjab (Faisalabad, Multan, Bahawalnagar, Bahawalpur,Vehari, Dera Ghazi Khan, Okara, Pak Pattan and few adjoining areas) that can continue till August 4. Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Lasbella, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, Makran coast and few adjoining districts). Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in parts of Sindh (Karachi, Hyderabad, Sukkur, Gotki, Jacoababad Thatta, Tharparkar, Mirpur Khas, Umerkot, Sanghar, Khairpur, Badin, Nawabshah and adjoining areas). The current rains in Sindh can last till August 4/August 5 early. Following is the amount of rainfall in the country;

• Sindh
• Karachi got 126 mm.
• Jacobabad got 109 mm.
• Larkana got 79 mm.
• Rohri got 72 mm.
• Hyderabad got 70 mm.
• Chhor got 56 mm.
• Thatta got 43 mm.
• Sukkur got 37 mm.
• Padidan got 31 mm.
• Mirpur Khas got 25 mm.
• Mithi got 22 mm.
• Nawabshah got 21 mm.
• Dadu got 15 mm.
• Moen-jo-Daro got 15 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Bannu got 86 mm.
• Dir got 17 mm.
• Kohat got 11 mm.
• Abbottabad got 7 mm.
• Balochistan
• Kalat got 48 mm.
• Sibbi got 23 mm.
• Khuzdar got 19 mm.
• Punjab
• Sargodha got 19 mm.
• Noorpur Thal got 16 mm.
• Murree got 15 mm.
• Gujrat got 12 mm.
• South Punjab
• D.G.Khan got 32 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Mangla got 19 mm.

Date of Issue – August 2

Sixth spell continues – Brought Heavy rains to the North and few central parts

Rain in central parts, shifting towards southern parts! 

Low pressure area over West Madya Pradesh and adjoining east Rajasthan. Western disturbance ’15′ over northern Pakistan, it is moving eastwards.

The sixth monsoon spell started from July 29 (with +1,-1 day error) and it is active so far in the northern areas. Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Abbottabad, Manshera, Haripur, Swabi, Swat, Peshawar, Landi Kotal, Hangu, Kohat, Khyber Agency, Khurram Agency and few adjoining districts) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur and few adjoining areas).  More heavy downpour can occur in northern areas of Punjab and few parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Kurram Agency, Khyber Agency, Orakazi Agency, Kohat, Hangu, Dera Ismail Khan, South Waziristan and adjoining districts) and some parts of Azad Kashmir (Rawalakot, Mirpur, Kotli and adjoining areas). The current rains in the northern areas can weaken by August 3 night/August 4 and from the coming week, the rains can increase their presence again. Sixth spell can also bring rain with thunder/lightning to central parts including south and central Punjab (Faisalabad, Multan, Bahawalnagar, Bahawalpur,Vehari, Dera Ghazi Khan, Okara, Pak Pattan and few adjoining areas) that can continue till August 4, there is a slight possibility of isolated heavy falls in Dera Ghazi Khan district as a strong thundercloud can form there. Rain with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of Balochistan (Khuzdar, Awaran, Panjgur, Barkhan, Lasbella, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai  and few adjoining districts). Chances of isolated heavy rain in Zhob, Musa Khel, Khuzdar and few adjoining areas.

From August 2 late/August 3, rain with thunder/lightning can occur in parts of Sindh (Karachi, Hyderabad, Sukkur, Gotki, Jacoababad Thatta, Tharparkar, Mirpur Khas, Umerkot, Sanghar, Khairpur, Badin, Nawabshah and adjoining areas).  There is a mild possibility of isolated heavy falls in Karachi, Jamshoro and Thatta district. The current rains in Sindh can last till August 4/August 5 early. Following is the amount of rainfall in the country;

• Islamabad got 55 mm.
• Punjab
• Sialkot got 89 mm.
• Garidupatta got 85 mm.
• Gujranwala got 78 mm.
• Lahore got 62 mm.
• Mandibauddin got 49 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 41 mm.
• Joharabad got 31 mm.
• Gujrat got 28 mm.
• Murree got 25 mm.
• Noorpur Thal got 20 mm.
• Jhelum got 16 mm.
• Sargodha got 5 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Malamjabba got 60 mm.
• Cherat got 46 mm.
• Dir got 46 mm.
• Abbottabad got 37 mm.
• Saidu Sharif got 30 mm.
• Lower Dir got 10 mm.
• Peshawar got 8 mm.
• Balakot got 8 mm.
• Parachinar got 5 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 53 mm.
• Kotli got 53 mm.
• Muzafffarabad got 6 mm.
• Balochistan
• Khuzdar got 19.4 mm.
• Sibi got 19 mm.
• Lasbella got 12 mm.
• Sindh
• Mithi got 5 mm.

In the month of July, Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) published 8 articles while one was published by Portal Interactive;

1. Monsoon Daily Updates – For August 2013
2. An Image of British Karachi under flood!
3. Pakistan under floodwater again – Guinness World Record?
4. Portal Interactive: Rains in Faisalabad
5. Pakistan Weather Update & Monsoon Alert (August 10 – August 17)
6. Eid Mubarak from Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)
7. Torrential rain brings Karachi to standstill !
8. Monsoon Daily Updates – For July 2013
9. Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) – July 2013 in Review!

Article of the Month

PAKISTAN DROWNS YET AGAIN – Blame the Government for playing with lives of the people, World leaders have severely criticized Pakistan. Should we be on Guinness World Record? The Article of the month is Pakistan under floodwater again – Guinness World Record?

• 2013 Monsoon in ending phases?

• ‘Withdrawing monsoon’ to give more rain to north!

• Tropical season beginning! 

Temperature and Precipitation till September 15

The Monsoon season of 2013 reached it’s peak in Pakistan in the month of August when it poured high intensity rains in the south and the central areas that were experiencing a dry rainy season though the north continued to experience above normal rains in June, July, August and even in September.

Monsoon has withdrawn from most Pakistan!

Monsoon leaving the sub-continent, Alas!

The process of monsoon withdrawal started since last weeks of August in south and central parts and by the first week of September the monsoon withdrew from these parts. Northern areas of Pakistan are experiencing probably their’s second last monsoon spell that started on September 8. This year the monsoon withdrawal has been mostly normal as compared to past three years – 2010, 2011 and 2012. In all those three years, the monsoon extended till the middle of September with heavy downpour.

Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) might declare monsoon withdrawal from western India on September 9.

Eleventh Monsoon Spell

The upper parts of Pakistan have been witnessing daily rain (isolated to scattered in nature) since the beginning of tenth spell on August 27 before that a short dry gap was witnessed. The rain coverage increased again on September 8 as thick clouds were observed on satellite image as the the 11th Monsoon spell (first mentioned in Monsoon of Pakistan on September 1) hit the Northern areas on September 8 (with +1 day error). The intensity remains moderate so far.

North – More rain likely?

11th and 12th spell – Rain clouds seen in North.

Notice: As compared to the previous spell, the 11th monsoon spell is weak in intensity however due to western low and continuous penetration of weak moisture from Arabian sea, some areas of north will have chances of rain in the coming week after that a decrease in moisture is seen.  

Due to the eleventh monsoons spell, showers/rain along with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, northern Punjab (Lahore, Rawalpindi, Murree city, Jhelum, Gujrat, Sialkot, Norwal, Sheikpura, Gujranwala, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin and few adjoining districts), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Naran, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Peshawar, Haripur, Swabi, Battagram and few adjoining districts), FATA (Khyber Agency, Kurram Agency, Orakzai Agency and few adjoining areas) and Azad Kashmir (Muzaffarabad, Kotli, Mirpur, Rawalakot and few adjoining areas). The 11th spell can remain till September 9/September 10. Most rain bearing clouds can form/stay in Jammu and Kashmir.

Mostly dry with passing clouds expected in Faisalabad, Okara, Pak pattan, Sahiwal, South Waziristan, Dera Ismail Khan and few adjoining areas during this period.

Central Areas: Monsoon nowhere to be seen?

Mostly dry weather expected with few passing clouds in south Punjab (Bahawalnagar, Bahawalpur, Multan, Dera Ghazi Khan and other adjoining areas).

Dry weather expected with few passing clouds in many parts of Balochistan (Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musa Khel, Zhob, Qila Saifullah, Loralai, and few adjoining districts).

South: Monsoon has left the building!’

Mostly dry weather with passing clouds is expected in most parts of Sindh (Karachi, Thatta, Jamshoro, Dadu, Nawabshah, Larkana, Badin, Sanghar, Khairpur, Sukkur, Tharparkar, Mirpur Khar and other areas). Partly/mostly cloudy weather can be witnessed in coastal Sindh especially Karachi while eastern areas of Thatta, Badin and lower Tharparkar can witness low and mid-level clouds .

Small weak cloud formation can take place on Panjgur, Kech and Awaran districts of Balochistan. Other areas of Balochistan will remain remain with few passing clouds (Kharan, Lasbella, Khuzadar and other adjoining areas).

12th Monsoon spell?

From the middle/late of this coming week, temperatures can increase in parts of the country by 2°C/3°C.  There is a probability that once the coverage of the 11th spell dies down on September 9 night/September 10, a similar intensity spell can affect the northern areas on September 12 (+1,-1 day error). After the 12th spell, mostly dry weather is expected in the upper parts.

Tropical Seasons begins as monsoon withdraws!

GFS points towards tropical activity in N.Indian Ocean

The west coast of India can witness some rain as the eastern Arabian sea is set to become a hub of clouds from the coming late week. Weak clouds from coastal Gujarat can move into coastal and south-eastern Sindh. While there is a tropical depression formation alert during the third week of September as a numerical models points towards the formation of a depression near Maharashtra coast. All tropical activities in the Arabian sea are always monitored by PWP either it affects Pakistan or not!

Poll of the week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know;

Ladies and Gentlemen you have landed at Benazir Bhutto International “Waterport”, Islamabad?

On August 6, a severe wave of monsoon rain hit the capital city causing all flights to be cancelled as rain water gathered over the runway. The rain (107 mm) was due to the seventh monsoon spell that brought heavy downpour to many areas of the north. Just six days after, monsoon 2013′s strongest eighth spell hit the upper parts bringing very intense rains there, Islamabad got 202 mm on August 13 and 103 mm on August 14.

Islamabad got 567.3 mm rain in the month of August as compared to the average monthly rain of 334.7 mm.  Islamabad and the north had one active monsoon this year!

The Arrival of the Orange Moon!

The harvesting season has begun!

If you are a space enthusiast then you are in for a special treat as on September 20 evening, people in Asia will witness a special face of Moon known as the ‘Harvest Moon’. The harvest moon was also visible on September 19 in the continent while the western continents saw it early on September 18.

Harvest Moon: Length of Day and Night are same!

Orange Moon over the skies of Karachi

The Harvest Moon or the Corn Moon appears during the fall in the northern Hemisphere in the ‘autumnal equinox’. What is equinox? This phenomenon causes the length of day and night to be equal all over Earth during the fall and the spring season.

The thing special about the Harvest Moon is that appears orange. According to US’s NASA the reason for the orange moon is due to the ‘greater thickness of atmosphere in the direction of a horizon, due to which a blue light is dispersed and hence one tends to see a brighter, orange moon.’

Visible in Pakistan?

Since the monsoon season has ended, the moon is visible across the country. The picture displayed by PWP was taken during the evening at that time the moon was clearly orange. So what are you waiting for? Get out! and look at the Harvest Moon!

Post Monsoon system no longer under watch for depression

Low pressure over Gujarat on September 26

The Sindh province usually does experiences a post monsoon spell in some years during the month of September due to the formation of a weather system (upper air cyclonic circulation) in the Arabian sea or a weather system (low pressure) over western India. According to weather history, Sindh has experienced tropical activity in September or October which do fall in the category of a post monsoon.

Background: Post Monsoon and Tropical Activity

On September 1, PWP mentioned in the Monsoon of Pakistan page that a weak post monsoon activity can occur in Sindh in Middle of September (first post spell occurred on Sept 13 which brought 13 mm rain to Mithi). While another spell can occur in coming days as a low pressure over lower central India is moving in a SSW direction. On September 8, PWP mentioned in it’s Pakistan Weather Update & Tropical Watch that a tropical activity can take place in the Arabian sea in the third week of September, a system can intensify near Maharashtra coast however as we see that has been now scheduled for the fourth week.

Update on September 23 at 10:00 pm PKT – Watch for a low pressure!

GFS is showing depression near Sindh

On September 19 an intense circulation over north Bay of Bengal intensified into a low pressure over Indian state of Odisha and adjoining west Bengal, it continued to move in a westward direction though later changed it’s direction to SSW. On September 21, it was over south of Indian state of Madya Pradesh as it tracked in a SSW direction with a circulation south-west of the system.

1. COLA AUS: On September 24, the system could track towards Maharashtra and adjoining Gujarat coast and from September 26, it will start moving towards Gujarat coast. On September 27/September 28, it will be near Gujarat and adjoining Sindh coast with possible intensification into a minimal depression.
2. GFS UK: It is showing similar to the COLA Model, with back and fourth movement (possible minimal depression) around the Gujarat and adjoining Sindh coast with complete dissipation during the first week of October near Gujarat-Sindhi coast.

Rain for Sindh?

Amazing, US Model shows around 75 mm rain in eastern Sindh

“Warning: Thatta and Badin can experience heavy downpour and strong gusty winds along with rough sea around September 27/September 28/September 29, fishermen should obey the government’s warning!”

Hot temperatures with chances of drizzle/showers with thunder/lightning in Tharparkar, Badin, Thatta and Umerkot districts till September 25. Increase in activity can happen afterwards – On September 27/September 28 (+1,-1 day error), rain with thunder/lightning along with gusty winds can occur in Thatta, Badin, Tharaparkar, Umerkot, Mirpur Khas, Tando Muhammad Khan, Hyderabad and few adjoining districts.

Coastal areas of Thatta district (Keti Bandar and Shah Bander), Badin and few adjoining areas can experience heavy downpour and strong gusty winds along with rough sea during that mentioned period as strong thunderstorms will be near its coast.

What about Karachi?

Hot temperatures will continue this week, on September 27/September 28 (+1,-1 day error), rain with gusty SE/NE winds can occur in the metropolis with high tides. COLA shows >15 mm rain while GFS shows >10 mm rain during that period. According to the Hong Kong Observatory, Karachi’s average September rain is 22.8 mm.

Update issued on September 26 at 10:00 pm PKT

“Post Monsoon system is no longer under the watch for tropical depression!”

COLA shows low moving away from Sindh

COLA and GFS maintained the tropical depression run till the morning of September 24 however after that they have shown that an incoming western trough ’22′ would impact the overall track of the system, rain can occur in the northern areas of Pakistan in coming days.

According to the numerical models, the low pressure instead of moving in a WSW/SSW direction (entering Arabian sea), it has moved in a WNW direction and now lies over western Gujarat over the Kutch area of the state, it has further intensified. The process of re-curve can start from tomorrow evening/night and the system can move in a brief NNW direction before moving in a ENE direction. After that COLA shows the weakened system to again enter eastern Gujarat in a SSE direction.

Despite change in direction, there are chances of post monsoon spell in parts of Sindh though the intensity would be less now.  On September 27, Rain with thunder/lightning at times isolated heavy with strong winds can occur in eastern districts (Tharparkar, Badin, Thatta, Umerkot and Mirpur Khas district). Chances of showers/rain in Hyderabad, Sanghar, Khairpur, Sukkur and adjoining few district. Slight chances of drizzle/isolated showers in Karachi, the temperatures will remain high due to lack of sea breeze as eastern winds would continue to dominate the city. On September 28, more rain can occur in the eastern districts of the province, decrease in clouds in other parts of Sindh. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded in the province due to this activity;

• September 24
  Nagarparkar got 17 mm.
  Diplo got 16 mm.
• September 25
  Nagarparkar got 34 mm.
  Diplo got 5 mm.
• September 26
  Nagarparkar got 4 mm.
  Mithi got 3 mm.
  Badin got 2 mm.
• September 27
  Nagarparker got 97 mm.
  Mirpurkhas got 45 mm.
  Islamkot got 41 mm.
  Chhor got 22 mm.
  Diplo got 17 mm.
  Karachi got 11 mm.
  Mithi got 9 mm.
  Nawabshah got 4 mm.
  Badin got 3 mm.
  Hyderabad got 1 mm.

Is cyclone forming?

No numerical model shows any immediate cyclone formation. Following is the list of tropical development seen in the month of September during the 21st century;

• On September 25, 2001 – A depression later strengthening into a Cyclone over Arabian sea. It’s trough brought clouding to SE Sindh.
• On September 30, 2004 – A depression formed near Indian coast that late intensified into Cyclone Onil bringing more than 100 mm rain to Thatta.
• On September 21, 2006 –  A depression formed over northern Arabian sea near Gujarat coast that intensified into Cyclone Mukda, it affected no land and dissipated over water.

Articles you may be interested

• October storminess: Cyclone Onil came with full force!
• A Cyclone is coming to Pakistan this year!
• Cyclone Yemyin – The untold story!

Tropical Poll

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know;

UPDATE SEPTEMBER 28 – FRESH TREMORS JOLTS SINDH AND BALOCHISTAN

Island forms near Gwadar coast after powerful quake!

Initial reports suggest the earthquake of magnitude 7.7 occurred in the SSE of Balochistan at about 4:29 pm PKT, strong tremors were felt in Karachi.

This year in April, a strong earthquake of magnitude 7.8 hit Balochistan-Iran border that killed 34 people in Pakistan while 100 were injured, two strong tremors of 5 magnitude were felt in Karachi. In January 2011, a similar earthquake of same pattern of magnitude 7.2 hit UAE, Iran, Pakistan, India and other adjoining countries. Following are the updates from PWP of the earthquake;

Update on 9:42 pm PKT on September 28

15 people are dead while 50 are injured in Balochistan in today’s fresh earthquake of 6.8 magnitude.

Update on 2:25 pm PKT on September 28

Pakistan National Seismic Monitoring Centre says it has recorded 7.2 earthquake while the United States Geological Survey says that it was 6.8 in magnitude.

Update on 2:21 pm PKT on September 28

These were the strongest aftershocks – Buildings have collapsed in Awaran’s Mashkai Tehsil. USGS says more tremors ‘very likely’.

Update on 2:07 pm PKT on September 28

BREAKING NEWS: REPORTS OF DAMAGE DURING THE FRESH EARTHQUAKE!!!
Rescue team rushing to the scene.

Update on 2:02 pm PKT on September 28

Tremors felt in Karachi, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Khairpur, Quetta, Jaffarabad, Dadu, Sibi, Chagai, Girdonwah, Dalbandin, Dera Layar, Qazi Ahmed, Machh, Kech, Pungur and other areas of Sindh and Balochistan.

Update on 2:00 pm PKT on September 28

USGS downgrades the earthquake to 6.8 magnitude, tremors felt in Karachi, Quetta, Hyderabad, Dadu, Larkana and other cities.

NEW - Update on 1:48 pm PKT on September 28

Earthquake of magnitude 7.2 hits the already quake-affected area of Balochistan, tremors felt in Sindh as well.

Update on 10:00 pm PKT on September 27

10 tremors, ranging from 4.5 to 5.2, have hit the earthquake affected areas of Balochistan since the September 24′s 7.7 magnitude earthquake. The latest tremor hit the area today and it was the strongest tremor yet. 500+ people have died due to this earthquake as reported by the UK Media.

Rain with windy conditions have been reported from Awaran district today.

Update on 10:00 pm PKT on September 25

According to some media outlets, 328 people have died in yesterday’s earthquake in Balochistan while 500 are injured due to tensions in the area, the rescue response has so far remained low. On the other hand experts say that Gwadar Island would soon sink due to high tides and oceanic winds.

Update on 10:30 pm PKT on September 24

BREAKING NEWS: 150 people dead in today’s earthquake in Awaran district of Balochistan. Reports of damage in coastal town of Pasni,

Update on 7:42 pm PKT on September 24

Island has formed near Gwadar coast from the 7.7 magnitude earthquake in Balochistan: Image from Express TV

Update on 7:38 pm PKT on September 24

BREAKING NEWS: Death toll in Balochistan province touches 45 while 200 people are reported injured. Buildings have collapsed in Awaran and Gwadar city of Balochistan.

Update on 7:20 pm PKT on September 24

BREAKING NEWS: Officials confirm that 30 people have lost their lives in the Awaran district of Balochistan.

Update on 7:18 pm PKT on September 24

Tremors were felt in Karachi, Hyderabad, Larkana, Quetta, Khuzdar, Noshki, Chagi, Pasni, Gwadar and many parts of Balochistan and Sindh.

Update on 7:00 pm PKT on September 24

2 deaths reported from Balochistan, the victims of April’s earthquake are still living in camps.

Update on 6:57 pm PKT on September 24

Earthquake epicenter can seen.

Update on 6:49 pm PKT on September 24

Unconfirmed - An Island has erupted near Gwadar’s coast.

Update on 6:45 pm PKT on September 24

BREAKING NEWS: Reports of death and damage from Balochistan, two people dead in the province.

Update on 6:30 pm PKT on September 24

Tremors were felt in India as well.

‘Pak forgets quake victims: Twitter and Facebook filled with Gwadar Island!’

Pakistani people and their media have given minimum coverage to the earthquake in Balochistan as compared to the disaster elsewhere in the country while the media and the people (Pakistani trends on Twitter) are more interested over the Island that formed near Gwadar, no doubt the emergence of Island was quite interesting however it is worth mentioning that emergence of such Islands is some what considered normal near the Makran coast but proper coverage should have been given to the Balochistan’s earthquake victims as 300 people are dead while 500 are injured.

Even after 30 hours of the earthquake, there is still confusion about the exact extent of damage and number of deaths in the province while the nature, height and length of the Island have all been calculated !

“Joy on twitter – Lets tweet about the Island and start giving it names!”

Pictures of Island everywhere – Few pictures of the affected areas!

According to the locals, widespread destruction has occurred in Awaran district while 90% villages are destroyed in the area, shouldn’t this receive full time coverage like any other disaster in the country? Oh Yes! It wont because the disaster occurred in Balochistan and news from Balochistan does not sell in the media neither Pakistanis want to know about the condition of Balochistan! The media defends itself saying that they dont have much access to the province and they face threat from terrorist groups, most of the province has heavy presence of security officials.

Some people on Twitter and Facebook have severely criticized the overall media’s performance. Balochistan has experienced little coverage during the disasters in 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012 and now 2013!

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) made a total of seven articles in the month of September;

• Gwadar Island: Balochistan Earthquake fails to remain the top news of Pakistan!
• Second powerful Earthquake strikes Pakistan in a year – Panic grips Karachi!
• Post Monsoon Development: Tropical activity likely in Sindh? – Updated
• Harvest Moon: The Rise of the Orange Moon!
• Islamabad Airport turned into a ‘Waterport’
• Pakistan Weather Update, Monsoon Alert & Tropical Watch (September 8 till September 15)
• Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) – August 2013 in Review!

Article of the month

• Gwadar Island: Balochistan Earthquake fails to remain the top news of Pakistan!

There were no articles in the month of October and November from Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) nor Portal Interactive.

Monsoon daily monthly updates

Date of Issue – September 16

MONSOON 2013 ENDS IN PAKISTAN TODAY

No rain seen that can be termed as a spell!

The last monsoon spell has ended in the northern areas on September 16 and with it 2013′s monsoon has come to an end in Pakistan. The 12th monsoon spell brought good rainfall to the upper parts with windstorms, the 12th spell was largely due to the passing western system. 2013 Monsoon remained largely very to extremely active in the northern strip of Punjab, Azad Kashmir, adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, parts of FATA. Pre-Monsoon was very active in whole country. 2013 Monsoon behaved mostly below to normal in Sindh with ‘normal’ withdrawal, pre-monsoon was active in the province. NE Balochistan and lower central Balochistan witnessed excessive rains in late July and August.

Weak western trough ’20′ over Jammu & Kashmir continues to persist. Upper air cyclonic circulation over north Bay of Bengal.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country with chances of drizzle/showers in one or two areas of North, dry weather elsewhere. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Islamabad got 44 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 59 mm.
• Sialkot got 30 mm.
• Gujrat got 30 mm.
• Sargodha got 29 mm.
• Noorpur Thal got 25 mm.
• Jhelum got 21 mm.
• Chakwal got 10 mm.
• Joharabad got 10 mm.
• Lahore got 9 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Malamjabba got 27 mm.
• Dir got 16 mm.
• Kohat got 12 mm.
• Peshawar got 2 mm.
• Lower Dir got 11 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Mangla got 19 mm.

Date of Issue – September 15

Last Monsoon Spell brings rain with winds/thunder in the north!

Weak western trough ’20′ over Jammu & Kashmir continues to persist. Upper air cyclonic circulation over south of Bangladesh, is now over north Bay of Bengal.

Due to the 12th spell, showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in upper parts (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Gilgit-Baltistan, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) till September 15 night/September 16 morning after that a significant decrease is very likely.  Mostly dry weather expected elsewhere with passing clouds. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Islamabad got 63 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 51 mm.
• Gujrat got 30 mm.
• Chakwal got 25 mm.
• Jhelum got 21 mm.
• Pak Pattan got 11 mm.
• Gujranwala got 5 mm.
• Sialkot got 5 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Mangla got 19 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 4 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Dir got 32 mm.
• Kohat got 6 mm.
• Balakot got 4 mm.

Date of Issue – September 14

Western clouds active in the country – More showers/rain likely in the north!

Weak western trough ’20′ over Jammu & Kashmir continues to persist. Upper air cyclonic circulation lies over the west coast of India, another lies over westcentral Bay of Bengal. An upper air cyclonic circulation has formed over south of Bangladesh.

Due to the 12th, showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in upper parts (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Gilgit-Baltistan, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa).  The upper air cyclonic circulation in the west coast of India continues to push mid and high level clouds into south-eastern and coastal Sindh (post monsoonal activity). Slight chances of drizzle/isolated showers in south-eastern Sindh. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Khyber Paktunkhwa
• Kakul got 18 mm.
• Kalam got 6 mm.
• Parachinar got 4 mm.
• Gilgit-Baltistan
• Chillas got 12 mm.
• Hunza 3 mm.

Date of Issue – September 13

Western clouds active in the country – More showers/rain likely in the north!

Post monsoon showers in lower Sindh

Weak western trough ’20′ lies over Jammu & Kashmir. Upper air cyclonic circulation lies over the west coast of India, another lies over westcentral Bay of Bengal.

Due to the 12th, showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in upper parts (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa). Weak cloud formation over lower Balochistan, slight chances of drizzle/isolated shower with windy conditions there. The upper air cyclonic circulation in the west coast of India continues to push mid and high level clouds into south-eastern and coastal Sindh (post monsoonal activity). Slight chances of drizzle/isolated showers in south-eastern Sindh. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Islamabad got 1 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Balakot got 62 mm.
• Kakul got 61 mm.
• Parachinar got 11 mm.
• Saidu Sharif got 3 mm.
• Dir got 7 mm.
• Malam Jabba got 4 mm.
• Punjab
• Lahore got 51 mm.
• Murree got 45 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 43 mm.
• Gujranwala got 4 mm.
• Mandi Bauddin got 1 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 33 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 26 mm.
• Kotli got 7 mm.
• Sindh
• Mithi got 13 mm.
• Gilgit-Baltistan
• Gilgit got 10 mm.
• Balochistan 
• Panjgur got 7 mm.

Date of Issue – September 12

12th spell arrives on September 12

Western clouds gripping most country – Eastern clouds move into lower Sindh!

Weak western trough ’20′ lies over Jammu & Kashmir. Upper air cyclonic circulation lies over the west coast of India.

The 12th monsoon spell has hit the northern on September 12 as mentioned by PWP, showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in upper parts (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa). Weak cloud formation over lower central Balochistan, slight chances of drizzle/isolated shower with windy conditions there. The upper air cyclonic circulation in the west coast of India continues to push mid and high level clouds into south-eastern and coastal Sindh (post monsoonal activity). Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Islamabad got 28 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Balakot got 32 mm.
• Kakul got 13 mm.
• Parachinar got 6 mm.
• Cherat got 1 mm.
• Malamjabba got 1 mm.
• Saidu Sharif got 1 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Kotli got 26 mm.
• Rawalkot got 14 mm.
• Mangla got 9 mm.
• Muzafarabad got 2 mm.
• Punjab
• Murree got 21 mm.
• Lahore got 2 mm.

Date of Issue – September 11

Low pressure over coastal Andhra Pradesh persists, it may move in a WSW/SW direction. Weak western trough ’20′ lies over Jammu & Kashmir.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however some showers/rain can occur in upper parts (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) due to the last weak monsoon spell on September 12 (+1,-1 day error), PWP upgrades the chance to ‘very high’.  Weak cloud formation over lower central Balochistan. The upper air cyclonic circulation associated with the low pressure is pushing mid and high level clouds into coastal Gujarat, they can move into coastal and SE Sindh in the late night/morning. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Islamabad got 7 mm.
• Punjab
• Murree got 4 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Kotli got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – September 10

North awaits it’s last monsoon spell

Low pressure over west central Bay of Bengal near Indian state of Andhra Pradesh, no lies over coastal Andhra Pradesh, it may move in a WSW/SW direction. Weak western trough ’20′ lies over Jammu & Kashmir.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however some showers/rain can occur in upper parts (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa). Possibility of a weak 12th spell in the upper parts on September 12 (+1,-1 day error), PWP upgrades the chance to ‘high’. The upper air cyclonic circulation associated with the low pressure is pushing mid and high level clouds into coastal Gujarat, they can move into coastal and SE Sindh in the late night/morning. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Islamabad got 27 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 28 mm.
• Lahore got 25 mm.
• Murree got 2 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Abbotabad got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – September 9

A low pressure is over west central Bay of Bengal near Indian state of Andhra Pradesh persists, it may move in a WSW/SW direction. Weak western trough ’20′ lies over Jammu & Kashmir.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however due to the 11th monsoon spell that started on September 8 with +1 day error in the northern areas, more showers/rain can occur in upper parts (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa), this spell can weaken on September 9 night/September 10. Possibility of a weak spell in the upper parts on September 12 (+1,-1 day error), PWP upgrades the chance to ‘moderate’. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Punjab
• Murree got 39 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 18 mm.
• Sialkot got 14 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Rawalakot got 37 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 27 mm.
• Kotli got 16 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Parachinar got 18 mm.
• Lower Dir got 16 mm.
• Malamjabba got 11 mm.
• Balakot got 8 mm.

Date of Issue – September 8

11th spell brings light to moderate rain

12th spell spotted in the north – chance at ‘poor’

A low pressure is over west central Bay of Bengal near Indian state of Andhra Pradesh, it may move in a WSW/SW direction.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however due to the 11th monsoon spell that started on September 8 with +1 day error in the northern areas, more showers/rain can occur in upper parts (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa), this spell can weaken on September 9 night/September 10. Possibility of another similar spell in the upper parts on September 12 (+1,-1 day error). Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Azad Kashmir
• Kotli got 37 mm.
• Rawalkot got 21 mm.
• Muzaffarabad got 8 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalapindi got 35 mm.
• Murree got 1 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Lower dir got 30 mm.
• Kakul got 5 mm.
• Peshawar got 3 mm.

Date of Issue – September 7

11th spell – Rain likely in the North 

A low pressure is over west central Bay of Bengal near Indian state of Andhra Pradesh, it may move in a WSW/SW direction. There is a possibility of a tropical depression formation in the Arabian sea in the coming late week.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however an 11th monsoon spell in the northern areas (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) can start around September 7 (+1,-1 day error), PWP maintains the chances at ‘extremely high’. This spell’s intensity appear to be moderate. Chances of drizzle in coastal Sindh including Karachi. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Punjab
• Sialkot got 13 mm.
• Gujrat got 2 mm.
• Murree got 1 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Muzaffarabad got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – September 6

Rain gaining momentum as 11th spell nears in the north!

Monsoon withdrawing from Most Pakistan!

Western trough ’19′ has moved eastwards.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however an 11th monsoon spell in the northern areas (Islamabad, northern Punjab, Azad Kashmir and adjoining Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) can start around September 7 (+1,-1 day error), PWP maintains the chances at ‘extremely high’. This spell’s intensity appear to be moderate. Chances of drizzle in coastal Sindh. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Balakot got 39 mm.
• Abbottabad got 29 mm.
• Dir got 1 mm.
• Punjab
• Sialkot got 30 mm.
• Murree got 29 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 20 mm.
• Sargodha got 5 mm.
• Gujranwala got 3 mm.
• Jhelum got 3 mm.

Date of Issue – September 5

Isolated activity brings heavy downpour to Rawalpindi ahead of 11th spell!

Western trough ’19′ lies over Jammu & Kashmir, it is still moving eastwards.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of the upper areas due to the prevailing western moisture. This week there are chances of an 11th monsoon spell in the northern areas around September 7 (+1,-1 day error), PWP upgrades the chances from ‘very high’ to ‘extremely high’. This spell’s intensity appear to be moderate. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Islamabad got 18 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 69 mm.
• Abbotabad got 29 mm.
• Murree got 29 mm.
• Chakwal got 11 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Malamjaba got 8 mm.

Date of Issue – September 4

‘Monsoon in withdrawal phases in central and south!’

North can see more rain!

The upper air cyclonic circulation in the eastern Arabian sea has weakened. Western trough ’19′ lies over Jammu & Kashmir.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country as monsoon 2013 is in withdrawal phases in central and southern parts however showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of the upper areas due to the prevailing western moisture. This week there are chances of an 11th monsoon spell in the northern areas around September 7 (+1,-1 day error), PWP upgrades the chances from ‘high’ to ‘very high’. This spell’s intensity appear to be moderate. There are very poor chances of a post monsoon spell in Sindh during middle of September. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Punjab
• Lahore got 7 mm.
• Murree got 7 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Kalam got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – September 3

Yesterday’s upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Bihar. Upper air cyclonic circulation over Comorin has moved towards Lakshadweep area (it is now over the eastern Arabian sea). Western trough ’19′ lies over Jammu Kashmir.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in some parts of the upper areas, upper parts are under weak western and Arabian sea moisture. This week there are chances of an 11th monsoon spell in the northern areas around September 7 (+1,-1 day error), PWP upgrades the chances from ‘moderate’ to ‘high’. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Punjab
• Jhelum got 51 mm.
• Murree got 17 mm.
• M.B din got 16 mm.
• Chakwal got 15 mm.
• Gujrat got 10 mm.
• Gujranwala got 8 mm.
• Lahore got 7 mm.
• Sialkot got 6 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 1 mm.
• Khyber Paktunkhwa
• D.I.Khan got 26 mm.
• Lower Dir got 11 mm.
• Bannu got 11 mm.
• Malamjabba got 3 mm.
• Saidu Sharif got 2 mm.
• Dir got 1 mm.

Date of Issue – September 2

Yesterday’s upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Bihar.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in one to two areas of the upper parts. This week there are chances of an 11th monsoon spell in the northern areas around September 7 (+1,-1 day error), PWP upgrades the chances from ‘Poor’ to ‘moderate’. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Punjab
• Lahore got 20 mm.
• Chakwal got 15 mm.
• Gujrat got 9 mm.
• Sialkot got 5 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Abbotabad got 3 mm.

Date of Issue – September 1

Yesterday’s low pressure over eastern Utter Pradesh, lies over Bihar as an upper air cyclonic circulation. Upper air cyclonic circulation over Sri Lana, it is moving westwards and now lies over Comorin area of India. Weak western trough ’19′ over Jammu & Kashmir, it is moving eastwards.

Mostly dry weather expected in the country however showers/rain with thunder/lightning can occur in one to two areas of the upper parts. In the coming week there are chances of an 11th monsoon spell in the northern areas, PWP upgrades the chances to ‘Poor’. Clouding will increase in the eastern Arabian sea in the coming days. Very poor possibility of a post monsoon spell in Sindh during the mid of September which could be a result of tropical moisture. Following is the amount of the rainfall;

• Islamabad got 49 mm.
• Punjab
• Rawalpindi got 64 mm.
• Lahore got 20 mm.
• Mianwali got 18 mm.
• Mandibahaudin got 13 mm.
• Murree got 12 mm.
• Gujranwala got 8 mm.
• Sialkot got 5 mm.
• Azad Kashmir
• Kotli got 45 mm.
• Rawalkot got 2 mm.
• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
• Saidu Sharif got 40 mm.
• Risalpur got 30 mm.
• Malamjabba got 11 mm.
• Balakot got 8 mm.
• Lower Dir got 7 mm.
• Dir got 6 mm
• Gilgit Baltistan
• Gilgit 01 mm

• More than dozen dead!

• Hundreds injured!

• Obey Government’s warning!

It has become a yearly story in Punjab, fog is becoming the second most deadly weather in the country after the monsoon season. In Multan district at least 18 people died due to the dangerous fog. Many cities of Punjab have been effected which include Lahore, Gujranwala, Jhang, Layyah, Sargodha, Faisalabad, Bahawalpur, Rahim Yar Khan and Bahawalnagar.

North-eastern and south Punjab is covered with thick fog which would only ease significantly if there is proper winter rain which is no where to be seen. A weak western system might cross from Gilgit-Baltistan from tonight till December 19 noon that might bring isolated showers with thunder/lightning in Islamabad and other surrounding areas however it might have no to little influence on the foggy conditions in Punjab, the fog might ease in the province during the weekend.

Middle East experienced the weather of Europe 

Snow uplifted the mood of the people from turmoil

Roads all white, snow falling on the ground! Wait, rub your eyes to find whether you are having a dream or it is really happening. This is what might have had happen to you if you were living in Cairo , a city that experiences snow once or twice a century. Snow pellets occurred in Cairo after 112 years.

Egyptian snow fools many!

As the snow-hit view of Cairo hit the Social Media, many people started posting fake picture of snow.  Following are some of the pictures that fooled the world;

Is this Cairo? Think again – Its Japan

And the picture that went viral;

Pyramids in Snow? No, its a filtered image

So don’t believe everything on the internet!

Nature! this is not Europe

Politically changed Middle-East witnessed another change in 2013 as the year was coming to an end. Countries like Jordan, Turkey, Cyprus, Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Palestine and Egypt experienced a monstrous winter storm dubbed ‘Alexa’ by the local media that brought blizzard and torrential rains.

On December 13, 60 inches of snow had fallen in the Israeli city of Jerusalem where the Israeli Prime Minister called the unexpected event as ‘once in a century storm’, it was the heaviest snowfall in 60 years. Other parts of Israel too experienced fierce snowstorm. You might have heard that the Arab Kings consider themselves the purist of all and everyone not having their blood is below them well that was not the case in Jordan. In the city of Amman, the King helped the people in pushing a car that was stuck in the snow.

War-torn Syria had to experience the biggest difficulty as most people are living in the open with no shelter, unconfirmed reports suggest that 100 cm snow fell in the southern parts of the country.

• Fog to ease, not end!

• Snowfall in Gilgit-Baltistan!

• Will Islamabad see a proper rain?

Lahore during a chilly morning.

The first overall significant drop in temperature in the country has occurred on December 19 night, temperature will further drop during the last days/week of December as stated on the Facebook page during last week of November. Pakistan may continue to experience dry days as no ‘proper’ winter rains/snow is seen till the end of 2013 however isolated showers/rain activity cannot be ruled out! The dry weather has led to severe fog conditions over the plains of Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

Is there any rain coming?

Heavy snowfall seen over GB and adjoining KPK

A western disturbance is over Afghanistan that would start moving into the extreme northern areas of the country from tomorrow mid-day and then it will move into Jammu & Kashmir. During the weekend (December 21 and December 22), rain with thunder/lightning can occur in Islamabad, Peshawar, Rawalpindi, Murree, Muzaffarabad and other adjoining cities, the northern strip of Punjab (Lahore, Sialkot, Jhelum, Gujrat, Gujranwala and adjoining cities) can experience increase in cloudy weather while the intensity of fog will surely decrease. There are slight chances of isolated shower with thunder/lightning in Sialkot, Gujranwala and Narowal district of Punjab as a weak thundercloud can be nearby. Isolated Heavy snowfall can occur over Astore and Diamer and surrounding areas of Gilgit-Baltistan and Kalam, Dasu and Naran of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

Northern Balochistan and surrounding Khyber Pakhtunkhwa can experience some cloudy weather on December 21 and December 22 morning those cloud would move into central Punjab to dissipate.

No change, where?

Southern parts of the country will experience similar conditions, there can be a slight decrease in the foggy conditions in upper Sindh while Karachi can experience few clouds on the weekend with a slight possibility that sea breeze might be restored briefly for 24 hours, a further decrease in temperature may occur in the city (almost whole country) during the last days/week of December.

“Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wishes all its Christian readers and followers a MERRY CHRISTMAS!!”

Christmas temperature recorded in Pakistan are as follow;

• Karachi at 10°C, 2012 Christmas it was  12°C – 2011 Christmas it was 8°C
• Islamabad at 0°C, 2012 Christmas it was  3°C – 2011 Christmas it was -2°C
• Peshawar at 2°C, 2012 Christmas it was  4°C – 2011 Christmas it was 0°C
• Lahore at 4°C, 2012 Christmas it was 5°C – 2011 Christmas it was 0°C
• Quetta at -8°C, 2012 Christmas it was -1°C – 2011 Christmas it was -5°C

I would not go in detail in this article as the images from two international newspaper would speak for themselves. The images were taken when cyclone ‘Mahasen’ threatened the border of Bangladesh-Burma in May 2013;

Image from the British newspaper The Guardian

Is there something wrong with the headline? Oh yes! So the Rohingya Muslims are not trusty, did they do anything to you? See more;

Image from US-based IBTIMES

You want them to be wiped out from Bangladesh and Myanmar! Well that ain’t gonna happen!

Before you jump to conclusions lets remind you that our own people are not so different as well.

“Fatwas on Facebook”

To maintain the neutral image of PWP, last year The Portal published an article about how religious pages on Facebook (one of them My Ideology is Islam & My Identity is Pakistan) wiped tears of joy over the deaths of Americans during Hurricane Sandy and Earthquake in the Buddhist majority areas of Myanmar, following is the article;

• Misery of others is a joy for few Pakistanis

Such activities should be immediately stopped and discouraged. Facebook/Newspaper pages like that should be immediately reported for spreading hatred.